At a press conference on Friday, Texas Emergency Management Chief W. Nim Kidd explained that early forecasts had predicted 3 to 6 inches of rain in the Concho Valley and 4 to 8 inches in the Hill Country—far less than what ultimately occurred in certain regions. “The amount of rain that fell in this specific location was never in any of those forecasts,” Kidd said.
Some state officials and members of the public have expressed concerns about forecasting and communication. However, meteorologists say the challenge wasn’t the prediction itself, but how warnings are received and acted upon.
Independent meteorologist Chris Vagasky told CNN that the National Weather Service issued timely alerts, and “the forecasting was good. The warnings were good. It’s always about getting people to receive the message.”
A spokesperson from the National Weather Service Employees Organization also confirmed that while two senior roles were unfilled at the time—positions responsible for technical training and public communication—there were still enough staff members on duty to deliver essential forecasts and warnings.
Discussions have emerged around federal resources and staffing within the National Weather Service following earlier budget changes. However, officials emphasized that emergency offices remained staffed and capable of issuing alerts in real time.
President Donald Trump spoke briefly about the tragedy while traveling in New Jersey, offering condolences to the families affected and stating that federal officials, including Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, are working closely with Texas leaders.
“This is a 100-year catastrophe and it’s just so horrible to watch,” he said, expressing confidence in the ongoing emergency response and recovery efforts. The President did not confirm whether he plans to visit the affected areas personally.
While investigations into the response will continue, officials stress that the focus now remains on search and rescue, supporting survivors, and helping families through unimaginable loss.
As Texas begins the long process of healing and rebuilding, communities across the state and nation are standing in solidarity with those affected. Vigils, donation drives, and messages of support have poured in as residents reflect on the lives lost and the strength it will take to move forward.
Our thoughts are with the victims and their families during this difficult time.